Al-Fatehvs
Al Khaleej Saihat
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Khaleej Saihat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Fateh 0-0 Al Khaleej Saihat, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Fateh 2-3 Al Khaleej Saihat
Original prediction
Al Khaleej Saihat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.4% | 31.1% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.0% | 29.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.6% | 39.8% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
Al-Fateh 0–0 Al Khaleej Saihat
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Al Khaleej Saihat
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Al Khaleej Saihat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00