Al-Fatehvs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Fateh 0-0 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.6% | 26.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 48.0% | 46.1% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20