Al-Fatehvs
Al Diriyah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Diriyah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Fateh 0-0 Al Diriyah, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Diriyah
Original prediction
Al Diriyah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 25.2% | 30.6% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.0% | 29.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 49.8% | 40.2% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Projected Score
Al-Fateh 0–0 Al Diriyah
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Al Diriyah
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Al Diriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-FatehDDDLL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al DiriyahLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al-FatehAl Diriyah
6.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence73.3
20.0Form46.7
34.0Power51.9
0.88xG0.99