Al Faisalyvs
Al-Nahda
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 10/14/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Faisaly · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Faisaly 2-0 Al-Nahda
Original prediction
Al Faisaly
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 39.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 26.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.5% | 33.8% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Faisaly
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Al Faisaly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80