Al-Faisaly FCvs
Al Kholood
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/15/2026, 1:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kholood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al Kholood
Original prediction
Al Kholood
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 28.2% | 28.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.5% | 24.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.4% | 46.4% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Kholood
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Al Kholood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20