Al-Faisaly FCvs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/11/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Faisaly FC 1-3 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.57 | 20.2% | 21.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.5% | 25.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 57.3% | 53.0% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80