GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/5/2026, 3:50:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Hazm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Faisaly FC 0-0 Al-Hazm

Original prediction

Al-Hazm

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1143.2%34.0%-9.2 pts
Draw3.3027.6%26.2%-1.4 pts
Away3.1329.1%39.8%10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–17%

Predicted outcome

Al-Hazm

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Al-Hazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Faisaly FCLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al-HazmDLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Faisaly FCAl-Hazm
33.3Attack41.7
16.7Defence50.0
8.3Form33.3
24.1Power44.6
1.31xG1.70
View match centre →