GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/14/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Al-Ettifaq are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Al-Nassr are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ettifaq hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 77.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Pro League, while Al-Nassr holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Nassr

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-EttifaqWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Al-NassrDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-EttifaqAl-Nassr
100.0Attack98.0
33.3Defence58.8
100.0Form80.4
80.3Power77.0
1.49xG2.40
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