Al-Ettifaqvs
Al Khaleej Saihat
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/10/2026, 2:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ettifaq · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ettifaq 1-1 Al Khaleej Saihat
Original prediction
Al-Ettifaq
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.6% | 52.1% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.9% | 24.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.5% | 23.2% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ettifaq
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Al-Ettifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00