Al-Ettifaqvs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ettifaq 1-4 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.3% | 31.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.1% | 24.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.6% | 43.6% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60