Al-Ettifaqvs
Al-Faisaly FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ettifaq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ettifaq 0-0 Al-Faisaly FC
Original prediction
Al-Ettifaq
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.4% | 54.3% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.0% | 23.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.6% | 22.4% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ettifaq
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Al-Ettifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00