Al-Ettifaqvs
Al Diriyah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ettifaq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ettifaq 0-3 Al Diriyah
Original prediction
Al-Ettifaq
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.5% | 40.9% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.9% | 26.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 43.5% | 32.7% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ettifaq
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Al-Ettifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60