Al-Duhail SCvs
Lusail City
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Duhail SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Duhail SC 3-1 Lusail City
Original prediction
Al-Duhail SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.5% | 55.4% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.4% | 23.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 15.1% | 21.0% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Duhail SC
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Al-Duhail SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40