GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/12/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Duhail SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al Shahaniya

Original prediction

Al-Duhail SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.8%51.7%-8.1 pts
Draw4.0122.6%23.5%0.9 pts
Away5.1517.6%24.8%7.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Al-Duhail SC

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Al-Duhail SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Duhail SCDDWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al ShahaniyaLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Duhail SCAl Shahaniya
44.4Attack66.7
77.8Defence11.1
55.6Form33.3
60.9Power40.3
2.26xG1.40
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