Al-Duhail SCvs
Al-Arabi SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 8/29/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Duhail SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al-Arabi SC
Original prediction
Al-Duhail SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.8% | 47.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.0% | 25.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Al-Duhail SC
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Al-Duhail SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20