Al Diriyahvs
Al Taawon
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Diriyah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Taawon, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Diriyah 1-1 Al Taawon
Original prediction
Al Diriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.7% | 54.2% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.3% | 26.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.0% | 19.7% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Al Diriyah
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Al Diriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al DiriyahLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Al TaawonWLDLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al DiriyahAl Taawon
29.2Attack12.5
66.7Defence37.5
45.8Form12.5
48.8Power23.6
1.39xG0.59