Al Diriyahvs
Al Riyadh
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Diriyah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Riyadh, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Diriyah 1-0 Al Riyadh
Original prediction
Al Diriyah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.0% | 52.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.1% | 25.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.9% | 21.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Projected Score
Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Riyadh
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Al Diriyah
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Al Diriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al DiriyahDLDWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al RiyadhDWDLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al DiriyahAl Riyadh
29.6Attack37.5
66.7Defence29.2
44.4Form37.5
48.5Power37.1
1.40xG0.75