Al Diriyahvs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Diriyah 0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.46 | 16.9% | 29.6% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.5% | 25.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 62.6% | 44.5% | -18.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80