Al Diriyahvs
Al Kholood
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Diriyah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Diriyah 1-1 Al Kholood
Original prediction
Al Diriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.7% | 40.2% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.3% | 27.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.0% | 32.9% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Diriyah
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Al Diriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60