Al Diriyahvs
Abha
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Diriyah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Diriyah 0-0 Abha
Original prediction
Al Diriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.4% | 62.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.9% | 21.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.19 | 14.7% | 15.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Al Diriyah
Probability
62.9%
Model confidence
62.9%
Al Diriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20