Al-Dhafravs
Dubai United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/16/2026, 1:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dubai United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Dhafra 5-1 Dubai United
Original prediction
Dubai United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.9% | 33.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 23.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.1% | 43.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dubai United
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Dubai United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40