Al-Dhafravs
Baniyas SC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 9/20/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baniyas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Dhafra 1-3 Baniyas SC
Original prediction
Baniyas SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.5% | 35.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.7% | 26.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 32.9% | 38.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Baniyas SC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Baniyas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00