Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al-Dhafra are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Al Nasr are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40