Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Al-Dhafra are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ajman are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 45.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80