Al Dhafra U23vs
Khorfakkan U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 8/30/2026, 1:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Dhafra U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Dhafra U23 1-1 Khorfakkan U23
Original prediction
Al Dhafra U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.3% | 43.9% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 24.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.7% | 31.1% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Dhafra U23
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Al Dhafra U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20