Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Buqa'a · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Buqa'a 1-0 Doqarah
Original prediction
Al Buqa'a
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.6% | 36.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 28.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.8% | 35.2% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Buqa'a
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Al Buqa'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Buqa'aNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
DoqarahNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Al Buqa'aDoqarah
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24