Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Buqa'a · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Buqa'a 0-0 Al Salt, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Buqa'a 0-0 Al Salt
Original prediction
Al Buqa'a
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.4% | 38.1% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 30.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.8% | 31.8% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
Al Buqa'a 0–0 Al Salt
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Buqa'a
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Al Buqa'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Buqa'aWLDWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Al SaltLLDWD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al Buqa'aAl Salt
33.3Attack25.0
66.7Defence66.7
58.3Form33.3
53.2Power43.3
1.11xG0.80