Al Buqa'avs
Al Faisaly
COMPLETEDJordan · League · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Faisaly · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Buqa'a 0-4 Al Faisaly
Original prediction
Al Faisaly
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.55 | 10.6% | 30.1% | 19.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.1% | 27.7% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 69.3% | 42.1% | -27.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Al Faisaly
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Al Faisaly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60