Al Bukayriyahvs
Hajer
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hajer · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Bukayriyah 2-1 Hajer
Original prediction
Hajer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.3% | 35.0% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 28.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.0% | 36.2% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Hajer
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Hajer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al BukayriyahDLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HajerLDLDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al BukayriyahHajer
20.8Attack28.6
41.7Defence47.6
12.5Form28.6
28.5Power37.9
0.95xG1.08