Al Bukayriyahvs
Damac
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/14/2026, 3:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Damac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Bukayriyah 0-0 Damac, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Bukayriyah 1-2 Damac
Original prediction
Damac
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.2% | 31.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 30.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 38.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Bukayriyah 0–0 Damac
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Damac
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Damac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al BukayriyahLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DamacLDDDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al BukayriyahDamac
16.7Attack16.7
50.0Defence75.0
16.7Form25.0
30.9Power42.1
0.90xG1.02