Al Bukayriyahvs
Al-Adalah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 8/31/2026, 4:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Bukayriyah · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Al-Adalah
Original prediction
Al Bukayriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.2% | 39.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 28.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.2% | 32.5% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Bukayriyah
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Al Bukayriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20