GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 11/10/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Bidda SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Bidda SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Al Waab are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Waab hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Second Division, while Al Bidda SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Bidda SC

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Al Bidda SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Bidda SCLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al WaabLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Al Bidda SCAl Waab
43.6Attack38.5
33.3Defence41.0
23.1Form33.3
36.5Power40.3
1.64xG1.43
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