GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/6/2023, 1:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Bataeh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al Bataeh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Khorfakkan are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Bataeh hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Pro League, while Al Bataeh holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Bataeh

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Al Bataeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al BataehLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KhorfakkanDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Al BataehKhorfakkan
49.3Attack45.3
40.6Defence30.7
40.6Form30.7
45.5Power38.0
2.29xG1.47
View match centre →