GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Bataeh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Bataeh 2-3 Forte Virtus

Original prediction

Al Bataeh

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8647.9%38.5%-9.4 pts
Draw3.5425.2%26.6%1.4 pts
Away3.3027.0%34.9%8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Al Bataeh

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Al Bataeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al BataehDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Forte VirtusLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al BataehForte Virtus
33.3Attack53.3
61.1Defence53.3
44.4Form60.0
49.3Power58.7
1.23xG1.29
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