Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Bataeh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.5 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80