Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Bataeh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80