Al Bataehvs
Al Hamriyah
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 9/18/2026, 2:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Bataeh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Bataeh 1-3 Al Hamriyah
Original prediction
Al Bataeh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 46.8% | 44.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.1% | 27.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.1% | 27.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Al Bataeh
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Al Bataeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20