Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Bataeh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Bataeh are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Bataeh hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Pro League, while Al Bataeh holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Bataeh
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Al Bataeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00