Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Arabi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Bataeh 1-2 Al Arabi
Original prediction
Al Arabi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.0% | 35.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 27.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.2% | 37.6% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Arabi
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Al Arabi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al BataehDWDDL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al ArabiWWLWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al BataehAl Arabi
16.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence50.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power87.5
1.44xG1.61