Al Arabivs
Shabab Al Ordon
COMPLETEDJordan · League · 10/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shabab Al Ordon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Arabi 1-0 Shabab Al Ordon
Original prediction
Shabab Al Ordon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.4% | 33.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 27.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.1% | 38.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Shabab Al Ordon
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Shabab Al Ordon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80