Al Arabivs
Gulf United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/9/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Arabi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Arabi 2-1 Gulf United
Original prediction
Al Arabi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 56.9% | 53.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.3% | 22.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Arabi
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Al Arabi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20