Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Arabi are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Dhafra hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Division 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 2.50/0.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33