GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/26/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Arabi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Abdish-Ata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Abdish-Ata hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 69.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the AFC Challenge League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al ArabiLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Abdish-AtaWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al ArabiAbdish-Ata
47.6Attack50.0
61.9Defence83.3
61.9Form75.0
58.8Power69.6
1.21xG1.16
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