GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 8/27/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Arabi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Arabi SC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while UMM Salal are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Arabi SC hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Stars League, while Al-Arabi SC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Arabi SC

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Al-Arabi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Arabi SCLDW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
UMM SalalLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Al-Arabi SCUMM Salal
60.3Attack49.2
44.4Defence42.9
41.3Form42.9
50.3Power46.5
2.29xG1.53
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