Al-Arabi SCvs
Qatar SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Arabi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Arabi SC 0-0 Qatar SC
Original prediction
Al-Arabi SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.6% | 55.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.9% | 22.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.5% | 22.1% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Arabi SC
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Al-Arabi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20