GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/2/2023, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Arabi SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Arabi SC are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Al-Duhail SC are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 49.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Stars League, while Al-Arabi SC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Arabi SC

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Al-Arabi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Arabi SCDLDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.75/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 0/4
Al-Duhail SCWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Al-Arabi SCAl-Duhail SC
60.3Attack63.5
44.4Defence34.9
41.3Form44.4
50.3Power49.0
2.59xG1.98
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