Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ula · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Anwar 0-1 Al Ula
Original prediction
Al Ula
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.41 | 16.8% | 28.5% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 27.4% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.4% | 44.1% | -16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Ula
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Al Ula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al AnwarDLWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al UlaWDDLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al AnwarAl Ula
0.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.10xG1.32