Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Anwar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Anwar 2-0 Al Taee
Original prediction
Al Anwar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.3% | 39.5% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 27.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.8% | 32.8% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Anwar
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Al Anwar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al AnwarDLDLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al TaeeWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al AnwarAl Taee
11.1Attack66.7
77.8Defence33.3
22.2Form66.7
40.2Power58.8
1.25xG1.22