Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Anwar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Anwar 0-0 Al Najma, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Anwar 1-1 Al Najma
Original prediction
Al Anwar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.7% | 38.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 29.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.5% | 32.1% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Al Anwar 0–0 Al Najma
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Al Anwar
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Al Anwar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al AnwarWWDLD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al NajmaDDDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al AnwarAl Najma
26.7Attack40.0
86.7Defence60.0
53.3Form40.0
57.6Power49.7
1.04xG0.83