GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Ain 2-1 Tractor Sazi

Original prediction

Al Ain

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3966.6%54.0%-12.6 pts
Draw4.7319.6%24.1%4.4 pts
Away6.7313.8%22.0%8.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Al Ain

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al AinLLWDL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tractor SaziWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al AinTractor Sazi
100.0Attack0.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form16.7
94.8Power36.5
1.94xG0.99
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